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firasd 15 hours ago [-]
I think it’s a misread to think the default ChatGPT model switching to GPT 5.6 Luna is some sort of desperation move. Keep in mind that Claude .ai never had this extreme stratification between the frontier models and the free tier (Sonnet is available to free users with rate limits).
So 5.6 Luna is just their next version of what they used to call 5.5 instant tier
And 5.x instant models were never much to write home about anyway so the default ChatGPT free model hasn’t been particularly distinctive since 4o
freakynit 7 hours ago [-]
Claude's rate limits are absolutely shit for free users. 3 chats and its gone for 24 hours.
claudiug 2 hours ago [-]
I dont see that, and I have a lot of chats, long messages, and is not 3 chats.
vezycash 2 hours ago [-]
It has limits when there's an attachment in that chat session. Switch to a new chat and you're good to go
ilaksh 15 hours ago [-]
> Our mission is to ensure that artificial general intelligence benefits all of humanity. We’re introducing updates to ChatGPT that improve everyday conversations while expanding access for Free users.
This clearly implies that they believe ChatGPT models are AGI and are now willing to say it out loud.
Which I think is a fair interpretation of the term. They are general purpose intelligence in that you can get help from them about almost anything. They are not like narrow single purpose AI models.
I don't think we need that term to mean "can completely emulate a human" or "can do every task any human on earth can do as well as them".
It also needs to be differentiated from ASI with godlike powers many times greater than human.
kkoncevicius 15 hours ago [-]
If we could show the current models to someone like Alan Turing, I am sure he would conclude that we have AGI.
throwatdem12311 32 minutes ago [-]
You say that they pass the Turing test yet every post on HN complains about the way LLMs write so clearly they haven’t passed it yet because we can still tell it’s a bot.
pinkgolem 6 minutes ago [-]
You can also change the writing style with a prompt quit easily, if the same person would publish millions of articles, we would also recognize them.
chippiewill 24 minutes ago [-]
Turing was a helluva smart guy, but he doesn't have the benefit of hindsight.
stymaar 13 hours ago [-]
And after half an hour using it he'd just admit that his test was way too simple as these models are still way too dumb
klibertp 12 hours ago [-]
I think of the Turing test as one of the starting lines, along with image recognition ("a summer break project for a group of grad students" resisted being solved for decades).
It is a huge leap. Now we can start talking about "intelligence" at all - we really couldn't before. That we're still hovering barely above the starting line is a separate matter (also worth noting, of course).
jaccola 3 hours ago [-]
I don’t think he would. The Turing Test as originally formulated is a bit ambiguous but by most non-incentivised interpretations LLMs do not pass it.
In the original test the evaluator knew one was a machine and one a human and could have conversations of arbitrary length.
stavros 10 hours ago [-]
How are the models too dumb? How are they dumber than the average person? I wonder if anyone gave Claude an IQ test (the one for humans).
txzl 3 hours ago [-]
I just asked Fable 5 max to create a 2d game about caterpillar climbing a tree and eating fruits.
The game looks good - animations, 8-bit aesthetics, procedural tree branching, but the tree's branches are dead ends. You can't go back once you started climbing a branch.
Yes, LLM doesn't have a reliable way to test it's game yet. All the screenshots, and playwright tests will never be enough to test even a simple game.
But can we call a machine doing such mistakes a general intelligence? It has no embodied intelligence. No way to experience time the way we do. All it has is text. Yes, they can have images, sound too, but no big models (at least those we are supposed to use for coding) currently are native with video as far as I am concerned. And I am not sure that just video without embodied experience is enough to understand the world the way humans do.
Of course we can get incredible results from machines that have a very different experience of the world than we do. But is this a general intelligence? I guess "general" is supposed to mean being able to do everything any human can do (minus the skills requiring a body)?
stymaar 3 hours ago [-]
I think it's Karpathy who coined the term “jagged intelligence”. LLMs are both extraordinary smart in domain they have been explicitly trained on (like Math) and positively dumb on things they haven't.
ilaksh 10 hours ago [-]
Yes there are a few sites with IQ test benchmarks. The frontier models come up around 130 or 140 depending on which model/test.
nearbuy 3 hours ago [-]
It also looks like they're saturating the test, with one LLM hitting the maximum possible score. (https://www.trackingai.org/home)
The test wasn't made to accurately measure IQs that high.
stavros 9 hours ago [-]
That tracks, I wonder what the people who say that the models are too dumb expect to see. Miracles?
stymaar 3 hours ago [-]
Not making mistakes my four years old would not.
They are definitely smart enough to be useful, but dumb enough in their weak spots not to deserve the "general intelligence" qualifier.
hluska 9 hours ago [-]
Dumb is too simplistic, but they sure don’t pass for being human. That would be the intent of a Turing test… not IQ.
ozgung 3 hours ago [-]
I wonder if it’s a version of Dunning-Kruger effect to call AI models dumb. I haven’t seen a “dumber than me” model since years. Also the smartest people known in the world use them in their fields so I don’t know what is meant by a “too dumb” model.
hnbad 52 minutes ago [-]
You need to be smarter (or rather: more knowledgeable in the problem domain) than the model to be able to use it efficiently. Hallucinations are still a problem occasionally but a bigger one is failure of imagination. Even Claude Fable lacks a holistic understanding of many domains it wasn't obviously trained on. The biggest problem with AI (if we assert that LLMs can be the basis of AI) is that these models will make mistakes that exist in an entirely different category of the kind of mistakes humans will make.
As an autistic this is painfully obvious to me but: much of human interactions operates on rules that are not only unspoken but often unacknowledged or even outright denied - not just that, but most rules are also highly contextual and rarely treated literally. E.g. corporate guidelines mostly don't exist to be followed (and following them will often result in punishment) but to be able to shift blame - but you need to know for which ones this is the case and for which ones it isn't. This is further complicated because any AI or AI vendor openly making such distinctions would be rejected - AI would not only need to understand all this nuance but also this additional meta layer.
whazor 3 hours ago [-]
My ChatGPT gives me lots of “artificial general intelligence” on a daily basis that I don’t possess.
orbital-decay 6 hours ago [-]
It doesn't fit their own definition of AGI, although it's inevitably vague [0]:
>artificial general intelligence (AGI)—by which we mean highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work
> This clearly implies that they believe ChatGPT models are AGI and are now willing to say it out loud.
Well, the models are smart enough to point out why this is wrong.
lostmsu 8 hours ago [-]
They were trained to do that specifically, don't you think?
khalic 2 hours ago [-]
ok so first the industry takes the AI term, uses it with a very vague resemblance to what it used to mean, for marketing purpose, then they latch on to the AGI term to talk about what people used to consider AI. Now there is no sign of actual AGI happening any time soon, so we're going to reinterpret AGI to mean something diminutive like a chatbot?
Don't you see a problem here? Terms are used to describe the world and need a semblance of stability so we don't end up in a race to the bottom just so investors can feel good.
tristanj 2 hours ago [-]
> Now there is no sign of actual AGI happening any time soon
Do you genuinely hold this position, or do you not realize how far the goalposts have shifted?
In 2022, prominent AI critic Gary Marcus offered to bet $100,000 that we wouldn't have AGI by 2029. https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-fi... Because the definition of AGI is unclear, he defined that AGI would be achieved if an AI model could do THREE of the five following tasks:
- In 2029, AI will not be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on (what I called the comprehension challenge in The New Yorker, in 2014). Who are the characters? What are their conflicts and motivations? etc.
- In 2029, AI will not be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about plot, character, conflicts, motivations, etc. Key will be going beyond the literal text, as Davis and I explain in Rebooting AI.
- In 2029, AI will not be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen (extending Steve Wozniak’s cup of coffee benchmark).
- In 2029, AI will not be able to reliably construct bug-free code of more than 10,000 lines from natural language specification or by interactions with a non-expert user. [Gluing together code from existing libraries doesn’t count.]
- In 2029, AI will not be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature written in natural language and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for symbolic verification.
Today's AI models can do FOUR of these five.
Using 2022 goalposts, we already have AGI. We blew past these goalposts months ago, and nobody noticed.
khalic 40 minutes ago [-]
That’s his definition and in no way a universal one.
In the meantime, it’s still very easy to differentiate between an AI and a human in a chat. You just need to know the quirks of these systems. Like counting letters, hitting the safeguards, etc.
So call me when one of them can pass the Turing test against me and then we can talk about AGI
ozgung 3 hours ago [-]
It’s interesting that they haven’t declared AGI yet, even as a PR stunt. It can be like a “pre-revenue” tactic. They are pre-AGI so investors can still pour money.
tristanj 2 hours ago [-]
Public models are months behind what the labs have internally, and I believe OAI's upcoming model is so advanced they consider it AGI.
OAI is not going to announce anything until their next model officially releases (allegedly later this month).
andai 14 hours ago [-]
>It also needs to be differentiated from ASI with godlike powers many times greater than human.
Wasn't there a thread the other day about how very few humans on earth can understand the new math proofs?
Although "with sufficient study" vs "not even with unlimited study" are probably worth distinguishing there.
Alifatisk 4 hours ago [-]
> Wasn't there a thread the other day about how very few humans on earth can understand the new math proofs?
Do you perhaps have a link to it? Tried to search around but couldn’t find it. Would love to read it
ilaksh 13 hours ago [-]
Which brings up another point in that we should have a term that distinguished between super intelligence in some capacity and godlike super intelligence.
taytus 13 hours ago [-]
[flagged]
lukevp 10 hours ago [-]
Well your comment adds no value and is just offensive. Why don’t you argue a counterpoint?
aryehof 6 hours ago [-]
For me on a paid plan, the effort indicator was hidden and the model was 5.5 instant. I had to press the + button to select “think harder” before the dial that allowed Sol medium or high to be selected to show.
It made me wonder how many paid subscribers realize they are using the same 5.5 instant model as free users by default. A dark pattern or oversight?
krsilas 1 hours ago [-]
I think thats a difference between Chat and Work. In work mode you can select a model and chat should feel "instant".
But I also don't like that differentiation. It's already hard to know which thinking level is necessary, how should users know which mode to use?
reed1234 5 hours ago [-]
And it hides again and reverts to instant when you are away from the app for a while. Definitely annoying.
Gareth321 2 hours ago [-]
It's getting seriously annoying. This is obviously in an attempt to push people to use the cheaper models but I find them appallingly stupid. There was a worrying comment by Tibo recently where he implied that they're aiming to meter chat queries against one's subscription quota.
maxipoo 6 hours ago [-]
How many can tell the difference?
pants2 5 hours ago [-]
There's a super obvious tell, 5.5 instant loves emojis.
heaney-555 15 hours ago [-]
Giving free ChatGPT users access to reasoning (the 'Think' toggle) will have a broader impact on the world than every new paid model and coding agent combined.
daemonologist 14 hours ago [-]
Going from 5.5 Instant (which was noticeably bad) to 5.6 Luna is a big jump as well. OpenAI is probably the most prominent among the general public - an advantage in some respects but they're giving away a lot of free inference and thus have to use a pretty small model to do it.
johnsmith1840 14 hours ago [-]
I really don't see how they're going to be google here. The free tier is dominated by verticle integration and the platform that people use. Long term I imagine google wins the bottom of the market and I'd be suprised if they lost.
ramraj07 10 hours ago [-]
Even a long while ago it was estimated that every Google search cost google several cents (and that they made back 10 cents). Google also uses AI for search results. Thus its not inconceivable that openai can make money here.
johnsmith1840 9 hours ago [-]
I typed wrong I mean I don't see how they will beat google. Google is the only true vertically integrated AI company meaning they own price at the bottom margins with their own chips and models made just for them.
ekidd 7 hours ago [-]
Google's public AI model lineup is pretty bad right now. Gemini 3.1 Pro is scoring worse than some mid-sized Chinese models at 1/20th the cost, and their Flash and Flash Light models are horrendously overpriced on task benchmarks compared to GPT 5.6 Luna or the mid-sized Chinese models.
There's no reason why Google's public stuff is this stale, overpriced and underwhelming. But at least until their next round of models drops, even calling them a "frontier lab" is starting to feel like a stretch. Which is weird!
willy_k 6 hours ago [-]
That doesn’t matter very much for the free tier market though. The game is to have something useable that is actually used, and that can be offered at sustainable margins. Google has significant advantages in those regards.
eru 6 hours ago [-]
It's interesting that Google fell behind before and managed to get back up to the frontier. But, boy, is their performance in this race uneven.
Especially considering that in the 2010s they were The Big AI company, especially after buying out boutique shops like DeepMind.
tokioyoyo 13 hours ago [-]
Ads.
stymaar 13 hours ago [-]
Ads work when you can server $.01 worth of ads to a user for $.0001 of server cost. I fail to see how you can make it work when doing LLM inference which is significantly costlier than web search.
tokioyoyo 13 hours ago [-]
In about 4 months, OpenAI’s fundraiser decks will leak, which will include their current ad revenue.
livinglist 8 hours ago [-]
Is this a promise or speculation?
mlvljr 4 hours ago [-]
[dead]
famouswaffles 11 hours ago [-]
> I fail to see how you can make it work when doing LLM inference which is significantly costlier than web search.
The median LLM query isn't significantly costlier than web search.
keeda 9 hours ago [-]
That's a problem Google has to solve too ;-)
To expand: it seems inevitable that Google's SERP format will be replaced with a conversational / chatbot / agentic interface, which equalizes the playing field for all chatbot providers.
This is because you can stuff in much fewer ads into a chat interface compared to SERPs. (They could try stuffing more ads but that would likely just push users more to the competition who have a much lower baseline on which to show growth.) As such, Google would be forced to progressively nullify its own invincible firehose of ad revenue as they deprecate SERPs in favor of AI overviews.
red_green_yell 6 hours ago [-]
Google has multiple massive cost advantages over OAI: TPUs, free access to massively valuable data (search index, gmail, maps reviews/PO/ navigation, youtube, android etc.), lower talent costs, lower training costs, lower distribution costs (they can shove AI down our throats in so many different places), lower ad infrastructure costs (it will be a lot of work for OAI to recreate adwords), lower ad sales costs (OAI deploying an ad sales team will be a massive investment).
There's no way OAI has a long term advantage over google in replacing the search engine experience.
Google's one major weakness is it will face the innovator's dilemma as their core search revenue gets cannibalized. But they seem to have been able to get their entire org to recognize that AI is an existential threat so at least that's a good sign.
eru 6 hours ago [-]
I'm not sure Google has lower talent costs. What makes you think so?
red_green_yell 5 hours ago [-]
You are right to question that. I am basing that statement off of the many famous engineers that have recently left and were very highly paid. My guess is Google is ceding the frontier and the high salaries that go with it and letting Anthropic/OpenAI fight over the high priced talent that exit. The remaining non-famous engineers will not be able to command celebrity salaries. But this is just speculation and I don't have great evidence that the celebrity salaries are enough to meaningfully reduce overall talent costs.
A counter point would be OAI and Anthropic can pay with more equity that they can promise will go to the moon. But all the equity base compensation eventually dilutes earnings per share so it's not free once you go public and people start caring about that.
eru 3 hours ago [-]
Agreed. One effect I had in mind was much simpler: if you are the cool new company, people will want to work for you and might even take a hit in salary to do so.
willy_k 6 hours ago [-]
Have you used the Google search engine in the past couple years?
You’re painting a dichotomy that doesn’t exist and hasn’t for a good while.
Edit: I missed your final paragraph. I still disagree with this argument though, people still want to go to websites.
theptip 6 hours ago [-]
OpenAI can very plausibly target ads far better than Google can.
Email is a good window but lots of people talk in more depth with a chat bot.
Search is a good “purchase intent moment” but people are telling a chat bot exactly what they care about in a purchase, rather than making indirect search terms and reading review sites.
virgildotcodes 12 hours ago [-]
I recently saw some discussion about the CPC for personal injury lawyers being ~$200 on Google ads. Seems insane to me, but I’m totally disconnected from the advertising world. That said, depending on the conversion rates between chats and clicks, the math could be favorable for OAI.
mikeshi42 10 hours ago [-]
High CACs are supported by high LTVs, that is about the right ballpark for things like lawyers or even plumbers.
kristofferR 12 hours ago [-]
90+% of queries are probably so common/evergreen that, if a cheaper model made all the different language varients and ways of asking the question into one query, they could be cached quite effectively.
fragmede 10 hours ago [-]
Except that Google is giving AI answers for ~every search now, so they're paying that cost for every search now as well.
theptip 6 hours ago [-]
I bet they cache a lot more than OpenAI can though.
johnsmith1840 9 hours ago [-]
More like LLMs are near commodity at the common tier the ones who wins are those who can inference the cheapest and google is easily thr best positioned to do that with many years of custom chip model optimization.
Google is going to be able to push cost down further and for longer than anyone else. They also rightfully believe this is a company ending gamble if they fail they could be a second tier player for decades.
So better inference margins, far better operation experience serving cheap AI at massive scale, a massive warchest, and the fear of complete company irrelevence.
That's going to be one hell of a company to beat for free tier LLMs. Also chatgpt is impressive but it's notthing like google search quite yet. On top of that AI labs must use google's product for their AI.
They also own more data by an exponential margin. Anything but dominance of free AI on google's side would mean they are just so incompetent they deserve to fail.
Tostino 14 hours ago [-]
People tell these models everything. You don't think a pretty unethical company can figure out a way to monetize that?
fragmede 9 hours ago [-]
If someone tells ChatGPT I'm cheating on my wife, sure, unethically they could blackmail the user but that seems like a stretch.
hluska 9 hours ago [-]
I think the consumer profiling side is more compelling (and likely) than blackmail.
Tostino 8 hours ago [-]
Yup, that is where my mind was.
gavinray 14 hours ago [-]
I'm not sure people fully comprehend the trickle-down pop-culture/zeitgeist effects that LLM's are having/are going to have on humanity.
Because everyone now outsources much of their thinking and researching to LLM's, our collective culture + brain is shaped in a cyclical manner by using them.
It's the mechanical homogenization of culture and groupthink.
crab_galaxy 9 hours ago [-]
Is that really accurate though? I use Claude in my software job but the majority of my friends do not use it at all. And I never use it for anything other than that either.
TBH I don’t find it useful at all for personal use. It’s totally soulless for creative ventures and absolute dogshit at researching the things I want it to be good at (I.e. planning a vacation or finding new music).
All that combined with the social stigma makes me feel pretty skeptical that it’s some kind of pop culture shaping mechanism, at least not for a few more years.
fragmede 8 hours ago [-]
We're all in our own personal bubbles and extrapolating from there as normal, but ChatGPT has some 800 million users, most of them outside the US. Countries like the Philippines and Thailand. I don't think they're all vibecoding the hottest new SaaS app but maybe they are.
martheen 5 hours ago [-]
Even the Philippines and Thailand are lower in per-capita usage compared to the US, most of the higher use are in Europe. Interestingly Australia & New Zealand are also pretty high, similar to Europe and far more than Asia & Africa in general, with the exception being Saudi Arabia (similar to US) and Israel (even higher than Australia). https://openai.com/signals/data
2 hours ago [-]
jimbob45 6 hours ago [-]
+1 to this. Many of my engineer friends don’t use AI even in cases where it could clearly help them. Not out of any principles stance but because they just don’t understand that it could speed up their work. It doesn’t help that the advertising surrounding AI hasn’t communicated its benefits well - either you’ve tried it and you get it or you just don’t know. I would imagine some early horseback riders in the 20th century probably felt similarly about the automobile.
in-silico 12 hours ago [-]
Does the free tier really not have access to reasoning models?
That would explain a lot of the terrible AI/LLM takes online.
heaney-555 12 hours ago [-]
The free tier of ChatGPT is powered by GPT-5.5 Instant, a non-reasoning version of GPT 5.5.
qingcharles 8 hours ago [-]
Also, remember the bulk of AI users are using free models, getting terrible answers, and wondering why people keep saying AI is going to take everybody's jobs away.
fragmede 9 hours ago [-]
Yes. Go to chat.com in an incognito window and ask it the same question that you ask 5.6-sol with thinking max, and compare. Depending on the question there is or is not a huge difference.
thorum 13 hours ago [-]
Free users have had access to reasoning for a while. o4-mini and the initial GPT-5 launch both included reasoning modes for free users.
They took away the button a few months ago and are now putting it back.
heaney-555 13 hours ago [-]
Technically yes, but the free usage equated to single-digit messages per day before the auto-downgrade. With GPT-5 it was just 1 message per day.
Perhaps I should have said "proper access".
whazor 3 hours ago [-]
Especially with tool calling.
This could be the Opus 4.5 moment for normal humans.
vitorgrs 5 hours ago [-]
There was already thinking in free model though. They removed the option a while ago and made it automatic... But you could force by just saying "think hard" or whatever.
colingauvin 16 hours ago [-]
They must really be feeling the commoditization pressure. I'm not sure what the way out of this is, ChatGPT and Claude are still good products, but they are not necessarily premium products anymore.
I expect a few things to happen in the next year:
1) Exclusive MCP server deals/API integrations
2) Significant switch to B2B marketing, even moreso than we've seen before, with API interfaces being paid and chat-client interfaces becoming more and more free, perhaps just with limits more on integrations or data visualization/analysis
3) US restrictions on B2B contracts with non-US hosted models that do any sort of contracting with the government
Obviously there's a bunch of stuff I'm not foreseeing. But it really does feel like the bottom of the market is collapsing into free. I assume OpenAI and Anthropic think their next generation of models will restore their halo tier status and that the cash burn is justified to just get there, but this has to really mess up IPO plans.
redox99 15 hours ago [-]
I'm not sure I agree
1) Back then, even as a free user you'd be able to use the strongest model (even if with tight limits). Now, you need to pay to use Sol, and you need to pay to use Opus or Fable. It does seem fairly premium in that sense. Idk about 5.6 Luna, but the previous Instant was really bad, even for very casual users. It would hallucinate non stop.
2) When $100 and $200 per month plans launched, they were received as outrageous even here. Nowadays they are pretty common among power users.
user43928 14 hours ago [-]
I also scoffed at the ChatGPT $200 Pro plan back then.
Back when coding for me still meant copy-paste from the web version, it was only worth the $20/month for me.
They only added the $100 Pro plan in April during GPT 5.4 times.
Today I happily pay $400/month for Codex and Claude Code.
thejazzman 11 hours ago [-]
Don’t say the last part out loud or it will be $800.
user43928 4 hours ago [-]
With Kimi K3 and Qwen 3.8 Max on their heels, I think the only way they can pull that off is by selling much better models.
solenoid0937 23 minutes ago [-]
I use K3 a lot, it is far behind Fable imo. For personal projects I use Kimi and for anything that matters I use Fable.
colingauvin 15 hours ago [-]
>1) Back then, even as a free user you'd be able to use the strongest model (even if with tight limits). Now, you need to pay to use Sol, and you need to pay to use Opus or Fable. It does seem fairly premium in that sense. Idk about 5.6 Luna, but the previous Instant was really bad, even for very casual users. It would hallucinate non stop.
This is kind of what I'm saying though. Bottom has fallen out, differentiation is just can you be much more premium than the competition. Currently that remains unanswered.
EDIT: I'm basing this off the assumption that for chat, premium is not a point of differentiation at all. For coding/analysis, it is.
davidguetta 14 hours ago [-]
especially when 99% tasks don't need fable, and certainly not the next model
Gareth321 2 hours ago [-]
My cynical read on this is that they're going to allow Sol on higher modes to downgrade its mode depending on the question or task.
kingstnap 15 hours ago [-]
Its always fun to try to read between the lines here to speculate why they are doing this.
Maybe Luna efficiency gain was actually significant enough that putting all the free users and giving them super generous limits makes sense.
They might be doing this to improve the messaging of AI among causal users since right now there is a huge amount of datacenter backlash in the US due to AI grievances.
Maybe they have too much excess capacity or they really want to juice token numbers and market share on their dashboards for marketing.
I also wonder if being given access to an actually a decent model like luna with actual thinking budget instead of brainless "instant" modes will start to make causal users understand the real capabilities of these models.
planb 14 hours ago [-]
Let’s speculate: they want luna to be their first model “on silicon” and need as much test data as possible before finalizing the design.
deanc 15 hours ago [-]
It's also going to be more training data for them.
ToValueFunfetti 15 hours ago [-]
Is this new behavior from them? I haven't looked at their free chat offering in a minute, but I thought they always had them close behind paid tier, often with essentially equal products that made it weird for them to sell the paid tier for chat.
mkozlows 15 hours ago [-]
No, free tier was total garbage with GPT-5.
kingstnap 15 hours ago [-]
You can't even pick 5.6 luna on the chat app with a paid subscription. It just gives you sol (or use older models) with what seems like basically as much usage as you want. And sol is considerably smarter than luna.
All of this is of pretty minor importance though. You can't read as many tokens as a subcription can produce so more chat is not the value add nor super important.
I mean there are literally so many providers for free chat if you are willing to use several seperate apps.
The real value in these subs is using codex cli, much like the real point of anthropic subs is using claude code. Because agentic work actually does require a lot of tokens.
simianwords 15 hours ago [-]
> Maybe Luna efficiency gain was actually significant enough that putting all the free users and giving them super generous limits makes sense.
Definitely this. The recent 80% discount was a reaction to Deepseek's update so that they still position near the frontier. My theory: Luna has always had a much higher efficiency. You do know that the model didn't get faster after the discount?
It’s hard to understand this .. like sure we can select instant but is there an actual model called 5.6 instant? Like is it on LM Arena and OpenRouter or available via API etc
5.5 instant is definitely A Thing it’s even name checked in this OAI post
simonw 13 hours ago [-]
It's SO hard to understand this. I couldn't confidently explain it at all.
hluska 9 hours ago [-]
It’s not subtle when you point it out - you’re looking for a different phrase entirely.
tosh 16 hours ago [-]
free unlimited luna is a pretty badass move
luna is very good
timpera 15 hours ago [-]
Any improvement to the ChatGPT free plan is really nice. It's easy to forget that most people have never used a SOTA model, and only think of their experience with GPT-4o or Google Search's AI Overviews when asked about AI.
skybrian 15 hours ago [-]
It's also pretty cheap if you're paying for it (for coding). But I don't quite trust it for anything complicated, so I often use Terra.
redox99 15 hours ago [-]
Terra is awful and not cheap enough to make up for it. I'd suggest using luna or sol.
stuartq 14 hours ago [-]
Terra is far from awful. I've not used Luna enough to judge whether it's significantly better than Luna, but at least via GitHub Copilot, Terra is leaps ahead of Sonnet 5.
vitorgrs 5 hours ago [-]
Luna is not bad, but... you feel is a small model. It have less knowledge. It's ok for purely agentic stuff (web searching etc).
Sammi 14 hours ago [-]
So Luna is more awful but it's OK because it's cheaper?
LaurensBER 13 hours ago [-]
I've had great success with using Luna and having DeepSeek 4 Flash check Luna's output. Oh My Pi has a mode built-in that does this automatically ("advisor" mode). Deepseek only interrupts when it spots an issue so it doesn't slow Luna down.
Both models are cheap enough that I can run 4 sessions at the same time without running out of the 20 USD codex and 10 USD Opencode plan. I've burned through almost a billion tokens this week and I've done some pretty big refactors as well.
I have a Claude Max subscription but I've barely been using it because of the many issues they've had this week.
dannyw 9 hours ago [-]
Yes, in the same way a basic, dry hotdog at $5 is bad, but I could love it in $0.50.
Pricing absolutely matters.
ssl-3 29 minutes ago [-]
Indeed.
I buy 2 hot dogs for $1 at Sheetz sometimes. For that price, I get them with mustard, onions, and sauerkraut already on them.
They are not excellent in any way. I will probably never love them. :)
But they're available 24/7/365 and they don't take long for the staff to throw together.
And most importantly: They sure are cheap.
(Costco's $1.50 dog+Coke is much higher quality and presents a better value, but it requires visiting a Costco and that has its own cost.)
redox99 13 hours ago [-]
Yes. You're better off running Luna Max or Sol Medium and never touching Terra.
causal 15 hours ago [-]
I guess I should give it another shot because I had pretty bad experience with Luna when it first came out. Stuff Sonnet knew better.
msq22 15 hours ago [-]
Were free users subject to some limits? I've never run into any limits.
timpera 15 hours ago [-]
It used to be 10 messages every 5 hours using GPT-5, then unlimited 4o-mini. More recently, it went down to ~5 messages per day on 5.5 Instant, then unlimited on 5.5 mini.
1saadcodes 7 hours ago [-]
I dont get why they'd make this available to free users when they're probably dealing with compute constraints considering their competition with the Chinese models. Giving a more capable model to a huge free user base looks like an expensive choice to me
ssl-3 46 minutes ago [-]
Even though it seems implicit that all of these companies are losing money hand-over-fist, it's still a competitive market.
Improving the free offerings is meant to increase visibility and therefore market share. It's not about goodwill, and it never will be. :)
The free stuff is primarily marketing and marketing always has costs.
In terms of compute, I have no way to really look behind the curtain and see what goes on back there. But I know with codex CLI, in terms of weekly quota: I can get a ton of work done with luna and usually get reasonable results. It feels very compute-light in this way.
I'm amazed by the work luna on xhigh can do for the price I pay (just $20, every month). It has the presentation of something that is very efficient to run, while also being something that can actually produce OK results. It's also fairly quick.
It differs from many previous smaller offerings of yore in this way. Like, I mean: I found stuff like the -mini models and 4o to be utterly useless wastes of my time. Luna isn't like that at all; it can get some stuff done.
So far for me, luna is the most impressive part of the 5.6 rollout. Not because it is best, but because it is useful and cheap.
So if luna is decent (it seems that it is), and if it is in fact light (which seems to be true from what I can observe), and it is offered for free, then it may very well be better, faster, and cheaper than the competition is.
And that's good for visibility. Marketing is all about buying eyeballs.
freakynit 7 hours ago [-]
They've probbaly have realized that the foundation models are becoming commoditized (or will be very soon). We can already run luna medium class models on phones now (bonsai, gemma4).
The value is shifting up the stack... make core intelligence free, then monetize the ecosystem built on top of it .. kinda similar to how the internet itself is free, but platforms and apps capture the value.
I think we'll see a huge push towards connectors for work and personal tools, along with much deeper os level integration. That's where the long-term moat is, not the base model itself.
dawnerd 3 hours ago [-]
For the ad integration, obviously. Plus you tell people they can good up their Apple health and now you get more free training data.
judge2020 7 hours ago [-]
IMO Competition with chinese models frees up higher-turn and bigger-context tasks, since SWEs are more likely to use model routers for coding. Thinking may be a few more steps but the problems are a lot less complex and probably 1/10th the context size, even when skills and memory are at play.
try-working 4 hours ago [-]
What's even more noticable is that Anthropic still hasn't responded to the Kimi K3 release or the DeepSeek release.
Iolaum 4 hours ago [-]
Do they? With Fable/Opus duo they have a better product and their customers are paying for quality. They want to be the premium LLM provider letting others compete for the commoditized part of the market.
bredren 4 hours ago [-]
Even more so has been what appears to be a miss with Opus 5 in Claude Code.
solenoid0937 27 minutes ago [-]
Opus 5 is amazing if you use it as an autonomous agent as opposed to a pair programmer. It's like Fable at a much lower price.
6 hours ago [-]
lilytweed 3 hours ago [-]
This post makes it sound like paid users should be getting a 5.6 Nonthinking as the Instant option. Still looks like 5.5 Instant to me?
ElijahLynn 15 hours ago [-]
I can't wait to never see a reasoning button ever again. Why do I have to reason about what reasoning level to use?
miki123211 11 hours ago [-]
I have the opposite problem. I'm not well-calibrated on when I'd want lower reasoning than what's available to me (and how to compare that to lower-tier models). OpenAI now has Luna, Terra and Sol, each at Low, Medium, High and Xhigh, with Pro/Ultra depending on harness and plan. That's ~15 possible combinations of model and reasoning level, and there isn't a satisfactory explanation of which one you want for any particular task.
I feel that work is basically split into two tiers, hard (which requires a good model and lots of reasoning by definition) and relatively easy (which won't consume much of my limits despite a great model and reasoning, so I may just as well keep it on Sol High).
andhuman 4 hours ago [-]
I don’t see why they just don’t allow a smaller model to answer the question while letting the bigger one vet it. The vetting can be asynchronous and can be delivered after a few seconds (if it’s an easy query). If it’s a hard query, the UI can show the answer is currently being vetted or something.
Davidzheng 3 hours ago [-]
if the bigger model can vet it fast it can also answer it fast.
majormajor 9 hours ago [-]
> (which won't consume much of my limits despite a great model and reasoning, so I may just as well keep it on Sol High)
This equation significantly changes if you're paying API prices vs on a subscription. (Such as if you're integrating it into a different product, where it becomes worth it to figure out what the cheapest you can leverage is.)
redox99 10 hours ago [-]
Yeah, it's hard, there's so many permutations. But most are bad so it narrows it down.
Luna: Can be useful if price sensitive, always use with AT LEAST high effort. But codex plans are very generous, so just ignore it.
Terra: Forget it exists
Sol: Just use this. Medium can work for specific edits. Otherwise just use high or xhigh.
OpenAI basically agrees with this, and the slider gives you those options.
TL;DR: Just use sol medium/high/xhigh
drivebyhooting 10 hours ago [-]
Why not pro/ultra?
redox99 10 hours ago [-]
Pro: It's web chat only, I haven't tried it so idk. I think it's useful for Math and that kind of stuff, but I only do programming.
Ultra: Might be useful, the one time I tried it, it was extremely wasteful in terms of tokens. Definitely not a daily driver.
There's also max effort, I think it can be useful but the gains compared to xhigh are quite small.
I think max and ultra are only worth it when the others fail.
drivebyhooting 10 hours ago [-]
It’s very confusing to me.
I’ve occasionally used pro to do high-level research and design. Then I ask it to create a prompt for Codex ultra. Ultra can do a lot of genetic benchmarking and testing to elucidate and resolve quandaries.
I don’t know if this is a good workflow.
nojs 12 hours ago [-]
Auto-effort and similarly auto model routing suffer from a halting problem sort of issue: you don’t reliably know if a request is complex unless you use a complex model to make the decision.
skybrian 15 hours ago [-]
Some people want quick results. Some people want it to keep searching for a new math proof overnight without giving up, and they have money to burn.
It seems like giving it a time limit or a budget in dollars would be clearer, though?
Or, keep searching until I come back to the computer and ask about progress.
pllbnk 15 hours ago [-]
The _Intelligence_ part of AGI should be able to guide the user through that without all the knobs.
minimaxir 15 hours ago [-]
OpenAI tried auto-routing with the initial GPT-5 release and it was immediately clear why that was a bad idea.
13 hours ago [-]
vanuatu 15 hours ago [-]
intelligence is not omniscience though
stymaar 13 hours ago [-]
Asking questions to clarify user intent is a very low bar for intelligence. A bar that all SOTA models fail consistently at though. (It's both funny and legit infuriating when Opus, after having made a dozen wild assumptions without checking with you, then comes back with a request for clarification on some mundane topic).
vanuatu 10 hours ago [-]
but you can keep asking questions ad infinitum
very nontrivial problem knowing when to stop and making assumptions
stymaar 3 hours ago [-]
Yes, that requires some amount of intelligence, that's exactly my point.
dbbk 12 hours ago [-]
I don't understand this at all. Whenever I ask Gemini 3.1 Pro Extended, or Claude 5 Max something in chat, the most I ever wait is maybe 30 seconds. Is that really so bad?
oceanplexian 11 hours ago [-]
"Wait 30 seconds" as a concept has been totally incompatible with the web, smartphones, etc for about 20 years now.
vitorgrs 5 hours ago [-]
If you just want to know "When it's the next full moon", yes. Very bad as google can answer in 1s.
dbbk 4 hours ago [-]
That I just type into Google.
redox99 15 hours ago [-]
Because the model can't read your mind and know if you want a quick answer, or an hour long deep dive.
Jtarii 15 hours ago [-]
Then it should just ask the user what they want if its unclear from the context.
redox99 14 hours ago [-]
So instead of just getting an answer, I have to wait until it asks me, and I have to type back a response? Extremely annoying.
Sammi 14 hours ago [-]
That's what the reasoning slider is for!
2sk21 14 hours ago [-]
Exactly! I posted much the same comment in another thread and there were lots of huffy complaints that amounted to "you're prompting it wrong"
Marha01 6 hours ago [-]
How is asking better than a reasoning slider?
awakeasleep 15 hours ago [-]
Because your incentives are opposed to the provider’s incentives
timpera 15 hours ago [-]
I think it's nice to be able to make the model reason for dozens of minutes when you want to go deep on a topic, even if the router thinks it's an easy question.
egorfine 12 hours ago [-]
I absolutely need instant mode as this is what I use 90% of the time.
Sadly it's not available anymore on the updated desktop app (formerly Codex) and the previous desktop app (formerly ChatGPT) is abandoned.
visarga 5 hours ago [-]
> I can't wait to never see a reasoning button ever again.
I hope to see a memory-less mode that is not incognito. Want fresh contexts sometimes, but also want to keep the chats saved in history. Memory can spoil some creative work, it dials the model in too tightly.
customguy 10 hours ago [-]
just wait for the loot boxes, mark my words
kaszanka 9 hours ago [-]
> Because this version of GPT‑5.6 Sol is optimized for everyday chats, it will only be available in the Chat experience in ChatGPT. The version of GPT‑5.6 Sol that powers Work and Codex is not changing as part of this release.
Hm, does this mean that 5.6 Pro in ChatGPT web is somehow different/not as good now? I found it really good for code review (upload your repo and patch and off it goes).
saithound 13 hours ago [-]
While their math results are impressive, vibe coding their own web UIs with their subpar design models is really going to backfire if their plan is to attract new users with better free model offerings.
The Aug 6 update has forced the entry box to auto-format Markdown in an attempt to imitate Claude. The implementation is buggy and even simple copy-and-paste has gone entirely haywire. They also forgot to leave a switch to turn the confounded autoformatting thing off.
Chat mode in general is currently crawling with more UX bugs than a porch screen in summer.
nc55g3g 3 hours ago [-]
free users get unlimited text chats with Luna AND a Think button now? That's a massive upgrade.
kgeist 13 hours ago [-]
>avoid extra detail when it does not help
I wonder if they actually do it to optimize inference. I maintain a corporate AI server and one of the tricks to reduce the load was to modify the system prompt to be as terse as possible so the average response completes faster and requests queue up less often.
roytam87 8 hours ago [-]
OpenAI should be more transparent to (free) users about Data Analysis quota and Chat with attachment quota.
sunaookami 14 hours ago [-]
This is actually a downgrade for free users since currently it uses GPT-5.5 for a few messages before it drops you down to GPT-5.5-mini. Now it always uses a model worse than Mini (Luna is nano-equivalent, "It roughly corresponds to the nano model tier used in earlier GPT-5 families." https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/gpt-5.6-luna ). I guess it's a bit better with Thinking though. They should use Terra for a few messages first before dropping down to Luna. And image inputs are still limited.
johnnyApplePRNG 9 hours ago [-]
Excellent.
Yes, please give free users more access and leave paying codex users in the dust.
Wise plan, Sam.
ssl-3 11 minutes ago [-]
Eh?
I've paid for ChatGPT (and in the recent ~year, codex) for about as long as it was available to pay for. I'm not upset by the offer of giving luna to the masses for free -- not at all.
Should I be upset that people can cut-and-paste to the lessest of the new model variations for free? If so, then why?
Nothing was taken from me here. I'm still going to keep doing whatever it is that I do with the tools that I've been using.
I'm not in competition with anyone, and even if I were then it wouldn't be with those who are using ChatGPT for free on the web.
cbg0 4 hours ago [-]
How are they leaving paying users in the dust? This is their cheapest model which you can already use full-blast even on a $20 plan.
OsamaJaber 14 hours ago [-]
Expanding free access is mostly an inference cost
Serving cheaply at that scale means routing, batching, and cache hits, not a better model :D
applfanboysbgon 13 hours ago [-]
> Our mission is to ensure that artificial general intelligence benefits all of humanity. We’re introducing updates to ChatGPT that improve everyday conversations while expanding access for Free users.
My mission is world conquest. I'm writing a comment on an HN thread.
No, those two clauses have no relation whatsoever. I just felt like saying the first sentence because it sounded cool.
solenoid0937 17 minutes ago [-]
They are communicating that they have reached AGI in order to create a trail of documentation for the Microsoft legal battle
Squarex 14 hours ago [-]
Why pay for ChatGPT Go then?
HDBaseT 11 hours ago [-]
Access to "ChatGPT-Image-2" I suppose?
ignoramous 15 hours ago [-]
Every week, 1 billion people turn to ChatGPT for everything from quick questions and web searches to planning, research, advice, and complex decisions.
Guess, Google's AI Mode is chipping away at their consumers (I know I haven't used Chat in a long, long while for 'quick questions and web searches' after OpenAI did away with "think" which I always use). The money-minting office & coding market Anthropic has cornered is hyper-competitive at both the frontier & low-cost ends. OpenAI is reactive [0] and seems right up against it, despite the strength of its excellent models.
[0] Won't put it past OpenAI (and/or Google) to open weight larger models!
skybrian 15 hours ago [-]
$20/month also gives you API access for coding, in any coding agent. I keep hitting the weekly limit but it's a good deal while it lasts.
drivebyhooting 15 hours ago [-]
Google’s AI has been very glitchy for me lately. I used to reserve chatGPT for serious work and Gemini for daily personalized unimportant things. But now I switched completely to ChatGPT and resigned myself to their memories/personalization.
sk4rekr0w 8 hours ago [-]
You've jumped to a naive conclusion
porridgeraisin 15 hours ago [-]
Did they do away with think? I think now you have to do it with /think
simianwords 15 hours ago [-]
Does 5.6 Sol finally have an "instant" form? Is that the change?
15 hours ago [-]
redox99 15 hours ago [-]
Yes
jauntywundrkind 16 hours ago [-]
At first I thought the Sol updates was perhaps trying to help with some complaints of Sol burning through tokens, complaints that have prompted some new data points on https://codex-resets.com/ .
But seeing the graphic with the visual weather report: that makes me think that is not the goal at all. :)
laweijfmvo 15 hours ago [-]
What a bizarre example of a more direct answer. Any human would simply say “No, it doesn’t rain here in summer.”
Even after identifying the 0% chance of rain, it still drags the conversation on and on and on
taikahessu 15 hours ago [-]
Would you like to know more? Seriously though, of course, it's tuned for maximum engagement, not maximum efficiency. I wonder how long this engagement dopamine circus can last... too long apparently.
sunaookami 14 hours ago [-]
GPT models were RLHF'd to death, they will never give a final, direct answer. Every release since the GPT-4o catastrophy is like this, it's so tiresome. They need a complete reset before it can become actually usable again. Or not as maximum engagement seems to be their goal.
aniceperson 15 hours ago [-]
a m-dash in the title? whoa things are degrading fast
iJohnDoe 6 hours ago [-]
> For Plus and Pro users, we’re updating GPT‑5.6 Sol in Chat to be more reliable with facts and provide more focused answers.
I was not impressed with 5.6 and this hits exactly why.
Also, this instant, medium, and high slider situation we now have everywhere is batshit crazy. It’s a major step back in technology.
I’ll put money on the table there will be a surprise in revenue because users have no clue what to choose, so they are constantly choosing high because they don’t want to risk getting inaccurate answers. If this was intentional by the dark patterns department, then brilliant. However, I’m guessing Anthropic and OpenAI are struggling to know how to deploy their models.
Also, the models were already amazing. They need to slow down and do a model release once a year and only do extremely minor iterations instead. Some amazing things are accomplished, but how people actually want to utilize the models gets screwed up every time in the process.
qhwudbebd 2 hours ago [-]
It seems even worse than that: when you're calling the model, you have this strange two-dimensional thing with reasoning effort (specified in a small handful of random strings like "medium", "xhigh", "max") and "pro" vs "not pro" which is also somehow increasing reasoning budget, but with an interaction that is entirely opaque. How does "medium", "pro" compare with "max", "not-pro" for instance?
If you're going to force people to specify manually, at least make it 0.0 - 1.0 normalised such that 0.5 is the default.
qhwudbebd 2 hours ago [-]
OpenRouter map this into their API in a slightly different way, making -pro and normal different model slugs, so you have openai/gpt-5.6-luna-pro vs openai/gpt-5.6-luna vs openai/gpt-5.6-sol[-pro], etc. This makes reasoning effort one-dimensional again (albeit with the arbitrary sequence of strings), but now model choice in a given generation is two-dimensional. Either way, it's hard to make any kind of informed decision.
porridgeraisin 15 hours ago [-]
I dont pay for a chatgpt subscription, but sometimes I did use the web app for throwaway questions. GPT 5.5 Instant or whatever it was that they had was absolutely horrendous. Never answered a question straight and was pedantic in a way even a redditor wouldn't be. So I dropped it and just opened my paid coding agent for everything. Grok.com is quite good now with grok 4.5 though and I find myself using that often. Hopefully luna will be similar.
So 5.6 Luna is just their next version of what they used to call 5.5 instant tier
And 5.x instant models were never much to write home about anyway so the default ChatGPT free model hasn’t been particularly distinctive since 4o
This clearly implies that they believe ChatGPT models are AGI and are now willing to say it out loud.
Which I think is a fair interpretation of the term. They are general purpose intelligence in that you can get help from them about almost anything. They are not like narrow single purpose AI models.
I don't think we need that term to mean "can completely emulate a human" or "can do every task any human on earth can do as well as them".
It also needs to be differentiated from ASI with godlike powers many times greater than human.
It is a huge leap. Now we can start talking about "intelligence" at all - we really couldn't before. That we're still hovering barely above the starting line is a separate matter (also worth noting, of course).
In the original test the evaluator knew one was a machine and one a human and could have conversations of arbitrary length.
The test wasn't made to accurately measure IQs that high.
They are definitely smart enough to be useful, but dumb enough in their weak spots not to deserve the "general intelligence" qualifier.
As an autistic this is painfully obvious to me but: much of human interactions operates on rules that are not only unspoken but often unacknowledged or even outright denied - not just that, but most rules are also highly contextual and rarely treated literally. E.g. corporate guidelines mostly don't exist to be followed (and following them will often result in punishment) but to be able to shift blame - but you need to know for which ones this is the case and for which ones it isn't. This is further complicated because any AI or AI vendor openly making such distinctions would be rejected - AI would not only need to understand all this nuance but also this additional meta layer.
>artificial general intelligence (AGI)—by which we mean highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work
[0] https://openai.com/charter/
Well, the models are smart enough to point out why this is wrong.
Don't you see a problem here? Terms are used to describe the world and need a semblance of stability so we don't end up in a race to the bottom just so investors can feel good.
Do you genuinely hold this position, or do you not realize how far the goalposts have shifted?
In 2022, prominent AI critic Gary Marcus offered to bet $100,000 that we wouldn't have AGI by 2029. https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-fi... Because the definition of AGI is unclear, he defined that AGI would be achieved if an AI model could do THREE of the five following tasks:
- In 2029, AI will not be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on (what I called the comprehension challenge in The New Yorker, in 2014). Who are the characters? What are their conflicts and motivations? etc.
- In 2029, AI will not be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about plot, character, conflicts, motivations, etc. Key will be going beyond the literal text, as Davis and I explain in Rebooting AI.
- In 2029, AI will not be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen (extending Steve Wozniak’s cup of coffee benchmark).
- In 2029, AI will not be able to reliably construct bug-free code of more than 10,000 lines from natural language specification or by interactions with a non-expert user. [Gluing together code from existing libraries doesn’t count.]
- In 2029, AI will not be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature written in natural language and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for symbolic verification.
Today's AI models can do FOUR of these five.
Using 2022 goalposts, we already have AGI. We blew past these goalposts months ago, and nobody noticed.
In the meantime, it’s still very easy to differentiate between an AI and a human in a chat. You just need to know the quirks of these systems. Like counting letters, hitting the safeguards, etc.
So call me when one of them can pass the Turing test against me and then we can talk about AGI
OAI is not going to announce anything until their next model officially releases (allegedly later this month).
Wasn't there a thread the other day about how very few humans on earth can understand the new math proofs?
Although "with sufficient study" vs "not even with unlimited study" are probably worth distinguishing there.
Do you perhaps have a link to it? Tried to search around but couldn’t find it. Would love to read it
It made me wonder how many paid subscribers realize they are using the same 5.5 instant model as free users by default. A dark pattern or oversight?
There's no reason why Google's public stuff is this stale, overpriced and underwhelming. But at least until their next round of models drops, even calling them a "frontier lab" is starting to feel like a stretch. Which is weird!
Especially considering that in the 2010s they were The Big AI company, especially after buying out boutique shops like DeepMind.
The median LLM query isn't significantly costlier than web search.
To expand: it seems inevitable that Google's SERP format will be replaced with a conversational / chatbot / agentic interface, which equalizes the playing field for all chatbot providers.
This is because you can stuff in much fewer ads into a chat interface compared to SERPs. (They could try stuffing more ads but that would likely just push users more to the competition who have a much lower baseline on which to show growth.) As such, Google would be forced to progressively nullify its own invincible firehose of ad revenue as they deprecate SERPs in favor of AI overviews.
There's no way OAI has a long term advantage over google in replacing the search engine experience.
Google's one major weakness is it will face the innovator's dilemma as their core search revenue gets cannibalized. But they seem to have been able to get their entire org to recognize that AI is an existential threat so at least that's a good sign.
A counter point would be OAI and Anthropic can pay with more equity that they can promise will go to the moon. But all the equity base compensation eventually dilutes earnings per share so it's not free once you go public and people start caring about that.
You’re painting a dichotomy that doesn’t exist and hasn’t for a good while.
Edit: I missed your final paragraph. I still disagree with this argument though, people still want to go to websites.
Email is a good window but lots of people talk in more depth with a chat bot.
Search is a good “purchase intent moment” but people are telling a chat bot exactly what they care about in a purchase, rather than making indirect search terms and reading review sites.
Google is going to be able to push cost down further and for longer than anyone else. They also rightfully believe this is a company ending gamble if they fail they could be a second tier player for decades.
So better inference margins, far better operation experience serving cheap AI at massive scale, a massive warchest, and the fear of complete company irrelevence.
That's going to be one hell of a company to beat for free tier LLMs. Also chatgpt is impressive but it's notthing like google search quite yet. On top of that AI labs must use google's product for their AI.
They also own more data by an exponential margin. Anything but dominance of free AI on google's side would mean they are just so incompetent they deserve to fail.
Because everyone now outsources much of their thinking and researching to LLM's, our collective culture + brain is shaped in a cyclical manner by using them.
It's the mechanical homogenization of culture and groupthink.
TBH I don’t find it useful at all for personal use. It’s totally soulless for creative ventures and absolute dogshit at researching the things I want it to be good at (I.e. planning a vacation or finding new music).
All that combined with the social stigma makes me feel pretty skeptical that it’s some kind of pop culture shaping mechanism, at least not for a few more years.
That would explain a lot of the terrible AI/LLM takes online.
They took away the button a few months ago and are now putting it back.
Perhaps I should have said "proper access".
This could be the Opus 4.5 moment for normal humans.
I expect a few things to happen in the next year:
1) Exclusive MCP server deals/API integrations
2) Significant switch to B2B marketing, even moreso than we've seen before, with API interfaces being paid and chat-client interfaces becoming more and more free, perhaps just with limits more on integrations or data visualization/analysis
3) US restrictions on B2B contracts with non-US hosted models that do any sort of contracting with the government
Obviously there's a bunch of stuff I'm not foreseeing. But it really does feel like the bottom of the market is collapsing into free. I assume OpenAI and Anthropic think their next generation of models will restore their halo tier status and that the cash burn is justified to just get there, but this has to really mess up IPO plans.
1) Back then, even as a free user you'd be able to use the strongest model (even if with tight limits). Now, you need to pay to use Sol, and you need to pay to use Opus or Fable. It does seem fairly premium in that sense. Idk about 5.6 Luna, but the previous Instant was really bad, even for very casual users. It would hallucinate non stop.
2) When $100 and $200 per month plans launched, they were received as outrageous even here. Nowadays they are pretty common among power users.
Back when coding for me still meant copy-paste from the web version, it was only worth the $20/month for me.
They only added the $100 Pro plan in April during GPT 5.4 times.
Today I happily pay $400/month for Codex and Claude Code.
This is kind of what I'm saying though. Bottom has fallen out, differentiation is just can you be much more premium than the competition. Currently that remains unanswered.
EDIT: I'm basing this off the assumption that for chat, premium is not a point of differentiation at all. For coding/analysis, it is.
Maybe Luna efficiency gain was actually significant enough that putting all the free users and giving them super generous limits makes sense.
They might be doing this to improve the messaging of AI among causal users since right now there is a huge amount of datacenter backlash in the US due to AI grievances.
Maybe they have too much excess capacity or they really want to juice token numbers and market share on their dashboards for marketing.
I also wonder if being given access to an actually a decent model like luna with actual thinking budget instead of brainless "instant" modes will start to make causal users understand the real capabilities of these models.
All of this is of pretty minor importance though. You can't read as many tokens as a subcription can produce so more chat is not the value add nor super important.
I mean there are literally so many providers for free chat if you are willing to use several seperate apps.
The real value in these subs is using codex cli, much like the real point of anthropic subs is using claude code. Because agentic work actually does require a lot of tokens.
Definitely this. The recent 80% discount was a reaction to Deepseek's update so that they still position near the frontier. My theory: Luna has always had a much higher efficiency. You do know that the model didn't get faster after the discount?
(This is a subtle nudge at anyone from OpenAI who reads this to make sure they get updated.)
OpenAI have a model called "chat-latest" - I wonder if that's running this new model yet: https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/chat-latest
It's described as "points to the latest Instant model currently used in ChatGPT" - so presumably that's "GPT-5.6 Instant" in the app.
https://gist.github.com/simonw/aae4febd3c6f7bc5b7811857edb3c... has screenshots that still show "Instant" as an option for ChatGPT Chat... but not for ChatGPT Work.
It’s hard to understand this .. like sure we can select instant but is there an actual model called 5.6 instant? Like is it on LM Arena and OpenRouter or available via API etc
5.5 instant is definitely A Thing it’s even name checked in this OAI post
luna is very good
Both models are cheap enough that I can run 4 sessions at the same time without running out of the 20 USD codex and 10 USD Opencode plan. I've burned through almost a billion tokens this week and I've done some pretty big refactors as well.
I have a Claude Max subscription but I've barely been using it because of the many issues they've had this week.
Pricing absolutely matters.
I buy 2 hot dogs for $1 at Sheetz sometimes. For that price, I get them with mustard, onions, and sauerkraut already on them.
They are not excellent in any way. I will probably never love them. :)
But they're available 24/7/365 and they don't take long for the staff to throw together.
And most importantly: They sure are cheap.
(Costco's $1.50 dog+Coke is much higher quality and presents a better value, but it requires visiting a Costco and that has its own cost.)
Improving the free offerings is meant to increase visibility and therefore market share. It's not about goodwill, and it never will be. :)
The free stuff is primarily marketing and marketing always has costs.
In terms of compute, I have no way to really look behind the curtain and see what goes on back there. But I know with codex CLI, in terms of weekly quota: I can get a ton of work done with luna and usually get reasonable results. It feels very compute-light in this way.
I'm amazed by the work luna on xhigh can do for the price I pay (just $20, every month). It has the presentation of something that is very efficient to run, while also being something that can actually produce OK results. It's also fairly quick.
It differs from many previous smaller offerings of yore in this way. Like, I mean: I found stuff like the -mini models and 4o to be utterly useless wastes of my time. Luna isn't like that at all; it can get some stuff done.
So far for me, luna is the most impressive part of the 5.6 rollout. Not because it is best, but because it is useful and cheap.
So if luna is decent (it seems that it is), and if it is in fact light (which seems to be true from what I can observe), and it is offered for free, then it may very well be better, faster, and cheaper than the competition is.
And that's good for visibility. Marketing is all about buying eyeballs.
The value is shifting up the stack... make core intelligence free, then monetize the ecosystem built on top of it .. kinda similar to how the internet itself is free, but platforms and apps capture the value.
I think we'll see a huge push towards connectors for work and personal tools, along with much deeper os level integration. That's where the long-term moat is, not the base model itself.
I feel that work is basically split into two tiers, hard (which requires a good model and lots of reasoning by definition) and relatively easy (which won't consume much of my limits despite a great model and reasoning, so I may just as well keep it on Sol High).
This equation significantly changes if you're paying API prices vs on a subscription. (Such as if you're integrating it into a different product, where it becomes worth it to figure out what the cheapest you can leverage is.)
Luna: Can be useful if price sensitive, always use with AT LEAST high effort. But codex plans are very generous, so just ignore it.
Terra: Forget it exists
Sol: Just use this. Medium can work for specific edits. Otherwise just use high or xhigh.
OpenAI basically agrees with this, and the slider gives you those options.
TL;DR: Just use sol medium/high/xhigh
Ultra: Might be useful, the one time I tried it, it was extremely wasteful in terms of tokens. Definitely not a daily driver.
There's also max effort, I think it can be useful but the gains compared to xhigh are quite small.
I think max and ultra are only worth it when the others fail.
I don’t know if this is a good workflow.
It seems like giving it a time limit or a budget in dollars would be clearer, though?
Or, keep searching until I come back to the computer and ask about progress.
very nontrivial problem knowing when to stop and making assumptions
Sadly it's not available anymore on the updated desktop app (formerly Codex) and the previous desktop app (formerly ChatGPT) is abandoned.
I hope to see a memory-less mode that is not incognito. Want fresh contexts sometimes, but also want to keep the chats saved in history. Memory can spoil some creative work, it dials the model in too tightly.
Hm, does this mean that 5.6 Pro in ChatGPT web is somehow different/not as good now? I found it really good for code review (upload your repo and patch and off it goes).
The Aug 6 update has forced the entry box to auto-format Markdown in an attempt to imitate Claude. The implementation is buggy and even simple copy-and-paste has gone entirely haywire. They also forgot to leave a switch to turn the confounded autoformatting thing off.
Chat mode in general is currently crawling with more UX bugs than a porch screen in summer.
I wonder if they actually do it to optimize inference. I maintain a corporate AI server and one of the tricks to reduce the load was to modify the system prompt to be as terse as possible so the average response completes faster and requests queue up less often.
Yes, please give free users more access and leave paying codex users in the dust.
Wise plan, Sam.
I've paid for ChatGPT (and in the recent ~year, codex) for about as long as it was available to pay for. I'm not upset by the offer of giving luna to the masses for free -- not at all.
Should I be upset that people can cut-and-paste to the lessest of the new model variations for free? If so, then why?
Nothing was taken from me here. I'm still going to keep doing whatever it is that I do with the tools that I've been using.
I'm not in competition with anyone, and even if I were then it wouldn't be with those who are using ChatGPT for free on the web.
Serving cheaply at that scale means routing, batching, and cache hits, not a better model :D
My mission is world conquest. I'm writing a comment on an HN thread.
No, those two clauses have no relation whatsoever. I just felt like saying the first sentence because it sounded cool.
[0] Won't put it past OpenAI (and/or Google) to open weight larger models!
But seeing the graphic with the visual weather report: that makes me think that is not the goal at all. :)
Even after identifying the 0% chance of rain, it still drags the conversation on and on and on
I was not impressed with 5.6 and this hits exactly why.
Also, this instant, medium, and high slider situation we now have everywhere is batshit crazy. It’s a major step back in technology.
I’ll put money on the table there will be a surprise in revenue because users have no clue what to choose, so they are constantly choosing high because they don’t want to risk getting inaccurate answers. If this was intentional by the dark patterns department, then brilliant. However, I’m guessing Anthropic and OpenAI are struggling to know how to deploy their models.
Also, the models were already amazing. They need to slow down and do a model release once a year and only do extremely minor iterations instead. Some amazing things are accomplished, but how people actually want to utilize the models gets screwed up every time in the process.
If you're going to force people to specify manually, at least make it 0.0 - 1.0 normalised such that 0.5 is the default.